Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Meanwhile, back in the REAL science world....

Somebody forgot to wind up the Sun. Please to note this is real, actual data not obtained by rolling 2d10 multiple times. The interplanetary geomagnetic index (aka Ap) is at anomalously low levels. The sun is a wonderful and complex physical environment with mind-boggling physics going on inside. We still aren't entirely sure how the whole thing works, and due to the aforementioned mind-boggling physics (gravity, strange particle plasma, vast and wiggly magnetic fields) we can't even get any ideas what's going on below the surface for, oh, millions of years. On account of that's how long it takes any particles to get *through* to the surface. It could have gone nova already, deep inside.

Anyway, the magnetic field of the sun is low. Sunspot activity is very sparse. We were supposed to be in the middle of a very active solar cycle which hasn't shown up for over three years now. These are not very good signs, since low/no sunspot activity has been connected with things like the Little Ice Age. And it is also suspected (read the article) that when solar magnetic fields are low, the Earth is not shielded from highly energetic cosmic rays which then trigger more cloud formation -- leading to colder temperatures.

To conclude: Global warming, my left foot. I'm trying to figure out how fast I can replace all my old windows with super-insulated ones.

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Sunday Funnies

-Schlock Mercenary Now King Lota knows that Kevin knows Credomar is a giant weapon with people living in it.
-TwoLumps Yule log-a-rhythm.
-xkcd
-Girl Genius Agatha found the Castle's off switch.
-Lackadaisy Two more pages! Wick is concerned about his health.
-Digger Sneaking around in the underbrush.
-NEW COMIC! Delta Bravo Sierra. There's strange, and then there's Army strange. Featuring newsmonkeys, rabbit sergeants, and Top Dogs.
ALERT! Yet ANOTHER Argghhh-onauts comic! Will miracles never cease? Will someone figure out the DFAC coffee machine has been dispensing pure caffeine sludge for the last month?
UPDATE: Argghhh-onauts Lucky Number 13 has been deployed, and *somebody* just can't wait for next week to get posted. Just to squash the rumors, I am NOT blonde.


-
No Need For Bushido
-Dresden Codak
-My Ninja Family
-Gone with the Blastwave

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

The Scientific Method

Being a remedial primer for AGW proponents Mann, Jones, et al. and a general introduction for the interested lay public ...

Your Humble Snarkatron is a scientist. This means, in addition to a visceral fondness for blinkenlights and tricks with liquid nitrogen, I conducted scientific research on a topic, presented papers at technical conferences, submitted papers (and had them published) at peer-reviewed, highly-regarded journals in the field of solid state physics, and also that I put together an independent body of work and defended it before a committee of my scientific peers to earn my PhD. This thesis is publicly available, as are the papers and data I published. The mere thought of concealing my experimental data makes me writhe in intellectual agony. Dreaming about losing my data would make me wake up in a cold sweat. I STILL HAVE THE ORIGINAL DATA FILES, over 15 years later.

This is the way the system works.
-Researcher A makes some measurements, using a specified technique, sample prep procedure, etc. These measurements and the experimental configuration are recorded in some permanent form.
-Researcher A, or more likely Researcher A's grad students, graph the data in a useful form and write up a paper explaining why this is such a big deal for the scientific community in general and the sub-community interested in sample/measurement technique in particular.
-Paper is submitted to Journal of Interesting Results. Editor of JIR looks through rolodex to find a reviewer *not* on the list of authors of the paper but who is familiar with sample/measurement technique. Paper is sent out to victim^H^H^H reviewer with proper groveling note giving thanks in advance for reading and commenting.
-Researcher B gets paper and reads with proper scientific detachment, making sure all assertions are supported with data, that the data makes reasonable sense given their experience with material/measurement technique, and sometimes even correcting spelling. NOTE: Researcher B should not be a tennis buddy, sexual partner, relative, or otherwise owe Researcher A money. It is not okay for Researchers A & B to take turns wearing the French Maid costume so the other can pretend not to know them.
-Researcher B returns paper with comments along with a go/no-go recommendation. The comments and recommendation (but NOT the name and affiliation of the reviewer) are forwarded to Researcher A, who can contest an unfavorable review if one is given.
-Once a favorable review is obtained, the editor of the Journal of Interesting Results schedules the paper for publication. The favorable review, I will point out, may NOT come from Researcher A, nor may the editor "shop around" reviewers to get a favorable review.
-The paper, now published, is Fair Game. Other researchers in the field, perusing the Journal of Interesting Results over a cup of Ovaltine, may be moved to try and reproduce the interesting result in question, possibly adding a few additional experimental wrinkles to obtain more insight. If they cannot reproduce the result, Things Happen. Letters are written to Researcher A, and possibly the editor of JIR. Clarification may ensue, or profound academic embarrassment when Researcher A realizes the measurements were in error and the Journal of Interesting Results has to let everyone know to ignore the previous paper (otherwise known as a "retraction"). Much, much more rarely, Researcher A cannot or will not produce a valid explanation for why a sample would ever measure -10,000 ohms, and then we move into the interesting area known as Academic Dishonesty.

I have submitted multiple papers for review, have acted as a reviewer for a very large and well-known physics journal, and have even (successfully) contested an unfavorable review. This stuff is not complicated. Time-consuming, but not complicated. It never crossed my fevered brain to say a researcher could not view my published data on the grounds "they will just try to find something wrong with it." Of COURSE they are going to try and find something wrong with it, that's what this process is about! Publishing a scientific paper is not like handing your latest fingerpainting to your doting mother to post on the refrigerator door. The correct attitude is "do your damndest. I hope you choke on my excellent work and well-supported arguments--and why don't you invite your friends?"

The gang involved with the recent Climategate leaked email scandal (or Climatequiddick, my favorite) were climate researchers. Such *can* be scientists, with all that implies, but they labor under some important difficulties. For one thing, we've only got the one working planet at the moment, and My Little Solar Accretion Disk kits are not yet on the market. I.e. we only have one experimental subject. Further, our ancestors were very inconsiderate and did not keep records of temperature, rainfall, etc. at the level of accuracy we demand to detect .05 C global temperature changes caused by my penchant for bonfires. Sometimes the blighters didn't keep records at all, their excuse being they hadn't invented writing yet. So, much use is made of temperature proxies, such as the infamous tree ring measurements. Trees, I should remind you, do not have thermometers. They tend to grow when they are not freezing, but that's about it. They get more excited about availability of water. A big fat ring *could* mean a temperate year, but with lots of precipitation. Oh, and really old trees tend to be in far off, inaccessible-to-lumberjacks type areas. Hence, these data sets of temperature proxies aren't something you can order up on Amazon. A research team that has gone to the trouble and expense of blackmailing a grad student into spending a summer taking core samples in Siberia *without beer* would, naturally, want first dibs at this data. First dibs is entirely understandable, a 25 year embargo is a scandal.

So, we have 1) an experimental system so huge and a timescale so vast it is incredibly difficult to amass a useful set of data to confirm or deny climate research claims, 2) a rather small (by scientific standards) group of researchers in the field, pretty much guaranteeing a high percentage of incestuous research relationships and therefore a reviewer pool with a significant chance of being "improperly interested" in the paper under review, and 3) modeling that conveniently predicted measurable results in the global temperature increase area well after everybody important had retired. This makes any claim of what *I* understand as "peer review" impossible. If there isn't a very good chance sloppy work will get pointed to and laughed at during Researcher A's academic career, why even bother?

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Sunday Funnies

-Schlock Mercenary Kevin has sold King Lota the military equivalent of undercoating.
-TwoLumps Tryptophan, in action.
-xkcd
-Girl Genius Gil and Tarvek are fighting. Or is it a ruse?
-Cho kicks ass, film at 11. New update Monday!
-
Digger Uh oh. Somebody knows a "shortcut". This never ends well.
UPDATE AND ALERT! Would you believe, Argghhh!onats has TWO comics in two weeks? Okay, who are you and what have you done with BillT?

Not Updated, fie!

-Lackadaisy
-Dresden Codak
-My Ninja Family
-Gone with the Blastwave

Monday, November 23, 2009

Nanotubes on the loose!

A workable display using carbon nanotube transistor arrays. (via the Blogfather) Your Humble Snarkatron once attempted to build a prototype nanotube display years ago, when nanotubes were still the wild frontier. It even worked, for a few seconds. It is nice to see some commercial applications finally coming forward. Nanotubes are very cool.

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

News Flash from the White House: Too much debt is bad, mkay?

No, really, the President is issuing a Stern Warning™ that if we don't get this pesky deficit under control, the recession could just auger in. It's like he finally started reading the reports the CBO has been sending him. Not only do we not have any more money, we don't have any checks left either. Something has to give.

So why, Dear Leader, are you forcing so much debt on us? You do remember you aren't a Senator any more, right? You have a veto. You don't HAVE to allow this flabbergasting debt increase on your watch. And really, your warning is unnecessary since we (meaning people who know how to balance their checkbooks) have been trying to tell YOU this for months now.

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Sunday Funnies

-Schlock Mercenary The Credomar infosphere has some holes.
-TwoLumps Know the symptoms of flue.
-xkcd
-Girl Genius The Castle does not approve of Agatha's shortcut.
-No Need For BushidoGeneral Astsumori isn't dumb. (back to biweekly updates, sigh ...)
-Digger The troll chieftainess has a message for Digger.

UPDATE AND ALERT! Somnolent, much prodded artist produces amazing fantasy-based comic (with snark sauce ...)
Not Updated, fie!

-Lackadaisy
-Dresden Codak
-My Ninja Family
-Gone with the Blastwave
-Arrgghonauts Filing missing comic report ...

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Veteran's Day

via Ace of Spades and Uncle Jimbo, I think I'll let the dogs speak for me. These guys *have* to be wonderful. A dog can't lie.

Thank you.

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Senile Dodderer outwits Obama Administration

He used facts, the clever fellow! Former IG Walpin cleared of wrongdoing. And he's filed suit in DC for wrongful dismissal.

Oh look, a flock of eumenides on the wing! What a glorious sight ...

Issues with Islam

As the mordant joke goes, the media warns against a backlash against Muslims and everyone says, "how many did they kill this time?" Just like those safety lectures on airplanes--most people can recite them verbatim (just FYI, the flight attendants hate that when you do, never mind how I know). Most-Muslims-Are-Peaceful. Put-Metal-Tab-Into-Buckle. Don't-Jump-To-Conclusions. The-Nearest-Exit-May-Be-Behind-You. Islam-Isn't-The-Problem. Everyone-Get-Out-And-Push-For-Takeoff. Yeah, I hear that most terrorist attempts were stopped by fellow Muslims dropping a dime. So, why aren't the Methodists having this problem? How many Amish bombings have been stopped by a quiet word to the FBI from a man in a beard and a hat?

This is important. We don't have a backlash against Muslims -- yet. We didn't have one after 9/11 and I know this because I worked with three devout Muslims on that very day. Believe me, I would have known if anyone was harassing them. But as long as the media, the administration, and good jeebus the MILITARY COMMANDERS keep saying things everyone knows aren't true about the Ft. Hood murderer, people ARE going to go overboard and say incendiary things about deporting all Muslims and worse. They are doing this from a sense of fright and frustration to force the people in charge to acknowledge reality.

If you do not like this rhetoric, tell the truth. The whole truth.

Snarkatron's personal observations: The Muslims I am acquainted with are polite, quiet, and non-confrontational. They do not get their knickers in a twist because women are allowed to sit next to them on a bus, or touch things on their desks, or talk to them. They follow the laws of this country, and show consideration - not deference- to others around them and expect the same in return. I believe they want to live peacefully with their neighbors, regardless of religious belief.

It only takes one rabid rat to cause a problem, however, and because the vast majority of Muslims seem non-confrontational that one rat has a disproportionate impact. The cultural and religious custom of sticking up for a fellow Muslim is doing the good guys terrible harm. It isn't fair, but they are going to have to find a way to say "That boy ain't right", LOUDLY, if they want to live in peace with the rest of us.

Islam is not the cause of the pathological behavior of these murderous nutbars. It does, however, act as an accelerant to any anti-social tendencies and neuroses Muslim adherants might have. Islam does not encourage believers to correct violent behavior against non-believers. There needs to be a way for mentally damaged individuals to be caught *before* they harm anyone, and their co-religionists would be the ideal first line of defense.

Other rants on the web:

Blackfive: Really General Casey?
Ace of Spades: CNN struggles more but the damn facts keep coming out
Dorothy Rabinowitz: Dr. Phil and the Ft. Hood Killer

Monday, November 09, 2009

Pelosi infests Seattle

Strangely, nobody notified the press until *after* she was all done having a press conference at a local hospital. However, the local Tea Party protesting network was on the job. With less than five (5) hours notice, we were able to produce over 40 protesters. And we even got photographers and press types! Dunno if any of it will be shown on the networks, since we were all reasonable and polite. My hastily scribbled sign referenced death panels, and one bemused photographer asked if I *really* worried about Death Panels??? I said yes, and explained why. So, if I don't post after this you will know I snagged one of the good bunks at the re-education camp.

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Sunday Funnies


-Lackadaisy THREE new pages! Poor Wick has a hard life.
-Schlock Mercenary King Lota was not deleted. Remember to back up your files, folks.
-TwoLumps Snooch writes a novel.
-xkcd
-Girl Genius Ooops. Somebody has the polychromatic flu.
-No Need For Bushido Ina is surprisingly calm, considering the impending disaster.
-Digger Grim Eyes and Digger have different taste in males.

Not Updated, fie!

-Dresden Codak
-My Ninja Family
-Gone with the Blastwave
-Arrgghonauts Filing missing comic report ...

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

My Tax Dollars At Work

via Ace, a wonderful list of what your stimulus dollars hath wrought. Some of my favorites:
$300,000 for a GPS-equipped helicopter to hunt for radioactive rabbit droppings at the Hanford nuclear reservation in Washington state.
I used to live around there. It is bare and flat. No trees. A $200 GPS handheld and some minimum-wage teenagers with Geiger counters would do the trick, and how often do you need to do a lagomorph-generated alpha particle count? (To be fair, if these are *giant* radioactive rabbits the helicopter might be prudent.)
$11 million for Microsoft to build a bridge connecting its two headquarter campuses in Redmond, Wash., which are separated by a highway.
Because Microsoft is famous for not having any money.
$219,000 for Syracuse University to study the sex lives of freshmen women.
They have sex lives, you don't. Gimmee the money.
$6 million for a snow-making facility in Duluth, Minn.
You have GOT to be kidding me. Is this for all the poor urban kids of Duluth who would otherwise never experience the joy of throwing a snowball?
$380,000 to spay and neuter pets in Wichita, Kan.
Why don't they just spay and neuter the students at Syracuse University?
$462,000 to purchase 22 concrete toilets for use in the Mark Twain National Forest in Missouri
Oh how I wish Mark Twain hisself could comment on this chuckleheaded notion. He'd probably offer to dig the latrines for half the price. Complete with whitewashed "privacy fence".

Proxmire's Golden Fleece awards ride again ...

Sunday, November 01, 2009

Sunday Funnies

-Schlock Mercenary An ordnance technician at a dead run outranks EVERYBODY.
-TwoLumps The limits of learning by osmosis.
-xkcd
-Girl Genius Agatha has a kick-ass basement.
-No Need For Bushido Okay, so arrows won't work this time.
-Digger Digger had a bit of a con-related hiatus, should be back Tuesday.

Not Updated, fie!
-Lackadaisy And they *promised* new pages in October!
-Dresden Codak
-My Ninja Family
-Gone with the Blastwave
-Arrgghonauts Must be cheesy bean burrito night at the DFAC....

Friday, October 30, 2009

I'm not dead

Just really, really busy. I still have snark that needs outing, never fear.

On a more important topic, it's Valor-IT time! And in memory of Dear Old Dad, and because I root for the underdog, I am backing the Air Force team. I expect all loyal members of the SnarkaTribe to at least *consider* donating. It's easy! It builds massive amounts of karma points! It involves computers that understand voice commands just like in Star Trek! (Sexy female response voice not included).

Seriously, hospitals are no fun-- a constant round of pain and boredom. When you have suddenly gone from being active, physical, and in command to not even being able to send an email on your own, it's even worse. Give these guys and gals the means to connect back to their buddies, their lives, their families while they heal up.

Sunday, October 25, 2009

Sunday Funnies

-Schlock Mercenary The hazards of cute reporters.
-TwoLumps The evil kittens have been recalled.
-xkcd
-Girl Genius Descent to the basement of the Castle! What could possibly go wrong?
-No Need For Bushido The weekly updates continue! Atsumori has a plan, we think.
-Digger Something is making Digger and friends hurry back, and they don't know what.

Not Updated, fie!
-Lackadaisy
-Dresden Codak
-My Ninja Family
-Gone with the Blastwave
-Arrgghonauts Number 10 is a myth.

Sunday, October 11, 2009

Sunday Funnies

-Schlock Mercenary Remedial explosives.
-TwoLumps Smartass kittens.
-xkcd
-Girl Genius The little clank leaders can't decide who is boss.
-No Need For Bushido Weekly updates! Oh, and farmers rock. Just wanted to mention that.
-Digger The adventurers emerge into sunlight.

Not Updated, fie!
-Lackadaisy
-Dresden Codak
-My Ninja Family
-Gone with the Blastwave
-Arrgghonauts Number 10, where are yoooou? ...

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

This is What A Real Nobel looks like

The Nobel Physics award this year is for fiberoptics and CCD detectors, otherwise known as the guts of digital cameras. I worked with CCD detectors more directly when I did my research with photoelectron spectroscopy. They are extremely clever little gizmos and they make possible photos that range from the sublime (Hubble space telescope) to the ridiculous (countless drunken cell phone pictures) to the heartbreaking(pictures of Buddhist monks killed by the regime in Burma, basiji thugs beating peaceful protesters in Iran). Real science that has affected the lives of millions for the better (yes, getting the word out about horrific abuse is better than letting violent regimes keep it a secret.) The Nobel Science prizes are truly an honor and reflect the best humanity can offer.

And then we have the Nobel Peace Prize. Awarded to a weapons-grade narcissist who had been in office a mere three weeks when the committee made its decision, and who now joins the likes of Yasser Arafat, Jimmy Carter, Al Gore, and Kofi Annan, who also received this ... accolade. (You know, it *does* seem appropriate now that I think about it. A terrorist, a wimp, a blowhard, and a corruptocrat...)

Monday, October 05, 2009

African Teen helps himself, UN feels useless

(via the Blogfather)
Young William Kamkwamba just wanted to read after it got dark. Problem being, he lived in one of the poorest areas of the poor country of Malawi, and he had no electricity. Fortunately for him, he *did* have access to a small library, and that small library had two very interesting books: Explaining Physics and Using Energy. Now his village has electric lights, a well with a pump for irrigation, power to charge cellphones with, and also radios and a TV. All because one kid knew how to read, had access to books with information, and knew how to scrounge junkyards. He built three useful windmills, all because he wanted to stay up late reading.

Outstanding job, Mr. Kamkwamba. I wish you all success in your dream of attending college in the USA. May I recommend MIT? I think it would be a good fit for your inventiveness.

Note: absolutely no sanctimonious, patronizing Lady Bountiful UN bozos were involved in this happy scenario.

Sunday, October 04, 2009

igNobels 2009

For research that cannot or should not be reproduced:
Featuring a gas-mask bra, the biological richness of panda poop, and anonymity as a factor in milk production for cows.

Sunday Funnies

-Schlock Mercenary Do not ask crazy people for moral judgments.
-TwoLumps The trouble with RPGs. The games, not the explosives.
-xkcd
-Girl Genius Agatha's little clanks have found their mistress.
-No Need For Bushido I hear rumors we might be going back to weekly updates. Stay tuned ...
-Digger Stairs. Lots of stairs.
-Lackadaisy A art preview update, and strong hints of multiple pages forthcoming.
-Dresden Codak Caveman Science Fiction.

Not Updated, fie!

-My Ninja Family
-Gone with the Blastwave
-Arrgghonauts Promises, promises ...

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

The Hockey-Stick Crumbles

Well, well, well. Looks like someone has been cooking the books with climate change data, and now we have proof. Cherry-picking data is a big scientific no-no. Maybe that's why they were so reluctant to release their data, since it could then be used to prove the complete opposite of what they were claiming. If you include all the data, instead of just the bits you like, there is no evidence of global warming. Ooops.

Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit was tireless for TEN YEARS trying to get this data. He may possibly be an honorary Mountie, for he never gave up and he got his Mann. (oooo, science joke ...)

As CA readers also know, until recently, CRU staunchly refused to provide the measurement data used in Briffa’s Yamal reconstruction. Science(mag) acquiesced in this refusal in connection with Osborn and Briffa 2006. While the Yamal chronology was used in a Science article, it originated with Briffa 2000 and Science(mag) took the position that the previous journal (which had a different data policy) had jurisdiction. Briffa used the chronology Briffa et al (Phil Trans B, 2008) and the Phil Trans editors finally seized the nettle, requiring Briffa to archive the data. As noted before, Briffa asked for an extension and, when I checked earlier this year, the Yamal measurement data remained unarchived. A few days ago, I noticed that the Yamal data was finally placed online. With the information finally available, this analysis has only taken a few days.
(Translation: real scientists can't hide their data when they publish the results. Journal Philosophical Transactions B enforced this rule, and Mr. McIntyre went to town.) And looky what it shows (black line is all data, red is, um, "highly selective"). No Hockey Stick. Sorry Al, give back the Nobel.